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<DIV><STRONG>If you have any doubts about the significance of the work you all
are doing to encourage year housing opportunities on Long Island, please
study the following statistics and analysis for the Comp Plan. I
think they are sobering. Coupled with local incomes below
County, State, and National averages and soaring housing prices we have much
work to do and do quickly.</STRONG> Mark</DIV>
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From: cmcduffie@earthlink.net<BR>To: judyp@tpda.com, cadebro@gmail.com,
COVESIDE.LI@VERIZON.NET, drftwdgrl@aol.com, Mlongreene2@aol.com,
cbbradbrown@aol.com, cpmurley@verizon.net, njordan@long-island.lib.me.us,
oldcove5@gmail.com<BR>Sent: 1/24/2008 9:28:13 A.M. Eastern Standard
Time<BR>Subj: Population<BR></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" face=Arial
color=#000000 size=2>Below please find the Population section lacking only the
birth/death <BR>statistics which Curt will add and then post it to the town
website.<BR>Chris<BR><BR>Town of Long Island<BR>Comprehensive
Plan<BR>Population<BR><BR>The following are locally generated figures, done in
the fall of 2006, <BR>after doing a windshield survey and confirming with
various lists from <BR>the Town of Long Island, and with others in the
community who have <BR>detailed knowledge of who stays on the island year
round. Our community <BR>is small enough that population statistics are common
knowledge, and <BR>residents can be counted relatively easily. This
information has <BR>community endorsement.<BR><BR>Total winter population in
fall of 2006: 216<BR><BR>Our population as of the last Comprehensive Plan was
180. Our <BR>population in 2006 was 216 people. This is an increase of 36
people in <BR>twelve years, an average of 3 new people per year, but as a
percentage <BR>of our small population that amounts to a 20%
increase.<BR><BR>Age Breakdown <BR>
Last Plan (Fall 1994)
Fall 2006<BR>Preschool 10 (6%1
of \u201894 total) 6 (3% of \u201806
total)<BR>5-17 33 (18% of \u201894 total)
34 (16% of \u201806 total)<BR>18-44
56 (31% of \u201894 total)
45 (21% of \u201806 total)<BR>45-64
45 (25% of \u201894 total)
92 (43% of \u201806 total)<BR>65+
36 (20% of \u201894 total) 39 (18% of \u201806
total)<BR><BR>From these figures we can observe that the numbers of young
people on <BR>Long Island are declining, particularly the very young and the
18 to 44 <BR>year olds, while the number of older adults (45-64 years old) has
more <BR>than doubled in the most recent twelve year period. Although the
number <BR>of folks 65 and older has increased by 3, as a percentage of the
total <BR>year round population that is a slight decline.<BR><BR>Add recent
births and deaths.<BR><BR>Tenure of year round households<BR>
<BR>In the Fall of 2006 54
households (56% of the total) were the same <BR>households which had
been in residence in the Fall of 1994 - in other <BR>words the same family had
lived in the same house since 1994 - and 43 <BR>(44%) were new households
since the Fall of 1994. New households would <BR>include those formed by
marriage, divorce or new arrivals. This is very <BR>comparable to the average
tenure reported in the previous Comprehensive <BR>Plan when 54% of the
households had been in residence for at least 10 <BR>years, and 46% had
existed for less than 10 years.<BR><BR>Household occupancy
<BR> Last
Plan (Fall 1994) Fall 2006<BR>Single
26
27<BR>Double occupancy
31
44<BR>3 or more occupants
23
26<BR>Total households 80
97<BR>Average number of persons per year round household: 2.25
persons<BR><BR>Seasonal Population<BR><BR>There is a large seasonal population
which must be acknowledged on Long <BR>Island. It is difficult to estimate
their numbers because occupancy of <BR>seasonal residences varies widely
depending on family habits, vacation <BR>schedules, numbers of visiting
relatives and guests and particularly <BR>the weather. The State Planning
Office suggests estimating seasonal <BR>residents based on 2-4 persons per
housing unit. This would give a <BR>range of 540-1080 seasonal residents in
addition to the year round <BR>population of 216. As reported in the housing
segment of this report, <BR>the proportion of winter houses to seasonal houses
remains about 1 to <BR>3, even as both numbers slowly increase.<BR><BR>On Long
Island, particularly in summer, there are also numbers of \u201cday <BR>trippers\u201d
some of whom are visitors to island households, but many come <BR>simply to
enjoy the island and its beaches. Their presence is noticed <BR>most on the
beaches, but they are also an important customer base for <BR>our stores and
gift shop.<BR><BR>Population Projection<BR><BR>There being no circumstances
identified to cause us to expect a change, <BR>it is projected that our
population will continue to grow at a slow <BR>steady space of about 3 persons
per year. Perhaps more than many towns <BR>Long Island values its multi-aged
population, and there is a good deal <BR>of interaction across the age
spectrum. School functions attract a wide <BR>audience. Most of our public
activities welcome all ages, and our <BR>seniors seem to enjoy our youngsters
as our children bask in their <BR>attention. We want to be sure that our aging
population has the <BR>services to live comfortably on Long Island.<BR><BR>The
ability to make a living in the Town of Long Island is fundamental <BR>to the
continued existence of our year round community, a fact which we <BR>do not
take lightly. Philip Conkling of the Island Institute cites the <BR>grim
statistic that of more than 300 year round Maine island <BR>communities in
existence at the turn of the century, only 14 remain <BR>today. The defining
criteria for year round community status is an <BR>island school, because the
lack of a school reflects lack of children. <BR>With no school, few families
with children find it possible to stay on <BR>an island; the population cannot
renew itself, and the year round <BR>community dies out. It becomes a summer
island. As Conkling's figures <BR>point out, year round Maine islands are an
endangered species.<BR><BR>Attracting and keeping young people on Long Island
must be a priority <BR>if we are to survive - for the simple reason that we
need them. <BR>Youthful vigor and abilities are required here more than in
most <BR>communities because ours is a more demanding setting. Our volunteer
<BR>fire department and emergency rescue operations require the strengths
<BR>of youthful members. Our town must provide the kinds of services that
<BR>will support the needs of young families. The well-known quality of our
<BR>school is a source of pride among residents and property owners and
<BR>reflects the level of community support it has traditionally enjoyed.
<BR>Our school is valued because it's excellence holds families here and
<BR>attracts more, but families must have the wherewithal to support the
<BR>decision to live here.<BR><BR>Population Policy<BR><BR>1. Inasmuch
as the citizens of Long Island have expressed desire for <BR>minimum growth,
it shall be the policy of the Town of Long Island to <BR>neither actively
discourage nor actively encourage population growth <BR>with the exception
that the town shall attempt to provide services, <BR>which make it possible
and desirable for young families to locate and <BR>remain here and to sustain
those who already live here.<BR><BR>Population Policy Implementation
Strategy<BR><BR>1. The Planning Board will periodically review population
levels so <BR>that the Town can respond as necessary to either increasing or
<BR>declining population trends.<BR><BR>2. The town will continue its current
commitment to the quality of our <BR>school and community
services.<BR><BR>3. The town\u2019s Year Round Housing Committee will
continue its efforts <BR>to create year round affordable housing on Long
Island.<BR><BR><BR></FONT></BLOCKQUOTE></DIV></FONT><BR><BR><BR><DIV><FONT style="color: black; font: normal 10pt ARIAL, SAN-SERIF;"><HR style="MARGIN-TOP: 10px">Start the year off right. <A title="http://body.aol.com/fitness/winter-exercise?NCID=aolcmp00300000002489" href="http://body.aol.com/fitness/winter-exercise?NCID=aolcmp00300000002489" target="_blank">Easy ways to stay in shape</A> in the new year. </FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>