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From: Christine McDuffie &lt;cmcduffie@earthlink.net&gt;
Subject: Population 6-27-07 draft
Date: Thu, 28 Jun 2007 13:38:20 -0400
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Town of Long Island
Comprehensive Plan
Population 6/27/07 DRAFT

The following are locally generated figures created after doing a=20
windshield survey and confirming with various lists from the Town of=20
Long Island, and with others in the community who have detailed=20
knowledge of who stays on the island year round. Our community is small=20
enough that population statistics are common knowledge, and residents=20
can be counted relatively easy. This information has community=20
endorsement.

Total winter population 2006 is 216

Our population as of the last Comprehensive Plan was 180. Our=20
population today is 216 people. We have experienced an increase of 36=20
people in twelve years, an average of 3 new people per year, but as a=20
percentage of our small population that amounts to a 20% increase.

Age Breakdown      =20
                Last Plan (Fall 1994)       2006 Plan (Fall 2006)

Preschool       10 (6%1  of =9194 total)          6 (3% of =9106 total)
5-17            33 (18% of =9194 total)           34 (16% of =9106 total)
18-44           56 (31% of =9194 total)           45 (21% of =9106 total)
45-64           45 (25% of =9194 total)           92 (43% of =9106 total)
65+             36 (20% of =9194 total)       39 (18% of =9106 total)

 From these figures we can observe that the numbers of young people on=20
Long Island are declining, particularly the very young and the 18 to 44=20
year olds, while the number of older adults (45-64 years old) has more=20
than doubled in the most recent twelve year period. Although the number=20
of folks 65 and older has increased by 3, as a percentage of the total=20
year round population that is a slight decline.

Curt will provide birth and death statistics from town reports.

Tenure of year round households
               =20
In the Fall of 2006 54 households  (56% of the total) were the same=20
households which had been in residence in the Fall of 1994 - in other=20
words the same family had lived in the same house since 1994 - and 43=20
(44%) were new households since the Fall of 1994. New households would=20
include those formed by marriage, divorce or new arrivals. This is very=20
comparable to the average tenure reported in the previous Comprehensive=20
Plan when 54% of the households had been in residence for at least 10=20
years, and 46% had existed for less than 10 years.

Occupancy      =20
                Last Plan (Fall 1994)       2006 Plan (Fall 2006)
Single          26                      27
Double occupancy        31                      44
3 or more occupants         23                      26
Total               80                      97
Average number of persons per year round household: 2.25 persons

Official figures should become available from the State Planning Office=20
packet when it arrives, but these figures are felt to be accurate=20
island figures.

Seasonal Population

There is a large seasonal population which must be acknowledged on Long=20
Island. It is difficult to estimate their numbers because occupancy of=20
seasonal residences varies widely depending on family habits, vacation=20
schedules, numbers of visiting relatives and guests and particularly=20
the weather. The State Planning Office suggests estimating seasonal=20
residents based on 2-4 persons per housing unit. This would give a=20
range of 540-1080 seasonal residents in addition to the year round=20
population of 216. As reported in the housing segment of this report,=20
the proportion of winter houses to seasonal houses remains about 1 to=20
3, even as both numbers slowly increase.

On Long Island, particularly in summer, there are also numbers of =93day=20
trippers=94 some of whom are visitors to island households, but many come=20
simply to enjoy the island and its beaches. Their presence is noticed=20
most on the beaches, but they are also an important customer base for=20
our stores and gift shop.

Population Projection

There being no circumstances identified to cause us to expect a change,=20
it is projected that our population will continue to grow at a slow=20
steady space of about 3 persons per year. Perhaps more than many towns=20
Long Island values its multi-aged population, and there is a good deal=20
of interaction across the age spectrum. School functions attract a wide=20
audience. Most of our public activities welcome all ages, and our=20
seniors seem to enjoy our youngsters as our children bask in their=20
attention. We want to be sure that our aging population has the=20
services to live comfortably on Long Island.

The ability to make a living in the Town of Long Island is fundamental=20
to the continued existence of our year round community, a fact which we=20
do not take lightly. Philip Conkling of the Island Institute cites the=20
grim statistic that of more than 300 year round Maine island=20
communities in existence at the turn of the century, only 14 remaining=20
today. The defining criteria for year round community status is an=20
island school, because the lack of a school reflects lack of children.=20
With no school, few families with children find it possible to stay on=20
an island; the population cannot renew itself, and the year round=20
community dies out. It becomes a summer island. As Conkling&#x27;s figures=20
point out, year round Maine islands are an endangered species

Attracting and keeping young people on Long Island must be a priority=20
if we are to survive - for the simple reason that we need them.=20
Youthful vigor and abilities are required here more than in most=20
communities because ours is a more demanding setting. Our volunteer=20
fire department and emergency rescue operations require the strengths=20
of youthful members. Our town must provide the kinds of services that=20
will support the needs of young families. The well-known quality of our=20
school is a source of pride among residents and property owners and=20
reflects the level of community support it has traditionally enjoyed.=20
Our school is valued because it&#x27;s excellence holds families here and=20
attracts more, but families must  have the wherewithal to support the=20
decision to live here.

Population Policy

Inasmuch as the citizens of Long Island have expressed desire for=20
minimum growth, it shall be the policy of the Town of Long Island to=20
neither actively discourage nor actively encourage population growth=20
with the exception that the town shall attempt to provide services,=20
which make it possible and desirable for young families to locate and=20
remain here and to sustain those who already live here.

Population Policy Implementation Strategy

1. Periodic review of population levels should be made so that the Town=20
can respond as necessary to either increasing or declining population=20
trends.

2. The town is encouraged to continue its current commitment to the=20
quality of our school and community services. =3D

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&lt;bold&gt;Town of Long Island=20

Comprehensive Plan=20

Population&lt;/bold&gt; 6/27/07 DRAFT


The following are locally generated figures created after doing a
windshield survey and confirming with various lists from the Town of
Long Island, and with others in the community who have detailed
knowledge of who stays on the island year round. Our community is
small enough that population statistics are common knowledge, and
residents can be counted relatively easy. This information has
community endorsement.=20


&lt;bold&gt;Total winter population 2006 is 216=20

&lt;/bold&gt;

Our population as of the last Comprehensive Plan was 180. Our
population today is 216 people. We have experienced an increase of 36
people in twelve years, an average of 3 new people per year, but as a
percentage of our small population that amounts to a 20% increase.=20


&lt;bold&gt;Age Breakdown        =20

                Last Plan (Fall 1994)       2006 Plan (Fall 2006)=20

&lt;/bold&gt;

Preschool       10 (6%1  of =9194 total)          6 (3% of =9106 total)

5-17            33 (18% of =9194 total)           34 (16% of =9106 total)

18-44           56 (31% of =9194 total)           45 (21% of =9106 total)=20

45-64           45 (25% of =9194 total)           92 (43% of =9106 total)=20

65+             36 (20% of =9194 total)       39 (18% of =9106 total)=20


&gt;From these figures we can observe that the numbers of young people on
Long Island are declining, particularly the very young and the 18 to
44 year olds, while the number of older adults (45-64 years old) has
more than doubled in the most recent twelve year period. Although the
number of folks 65 and older has increased by 3, as a percentage of
the total year round population that is a slight decline.


&lt;color&gt;&lt;param&gt;EEEE,0000,0000&lt;/param&gt;Curt will provide birth and death
statistics from town reports.&lt;/color&gt;


&lt;bold&gt;Tenure of year round households=20

                &lt;/bold&gt;

In the Fall of 2006 54 households  (56% of the total) were the same
households which had been in residence in the Fall of 1994 - in other
words the same family had lived in the same house since 1994 - and 43
(44%) were new households since the Fall of 1994. New households would
include those formed by marriage, divorce or new arrivals. This is
very comparable to the average tenure reported in the previous
Comprehensive Plan when 54% of the households had been in residence
for at least 10 years, and 46% had existed for less than 10 years.=20


&lt;bold&gt;Occupancy        =20

                Last Plan (Fall 1994)       2006 Plan (Fall 2006) &lt;/bold&gt;

Single          26                      27=20

Double occupancy        31                      44=20

3 or more occupants         23                      26=20

Total               80                      97=20

Average number of persons per year round household: 2.25 persons=20


&lt;color&gt;&lt;param&gt;EEEE,0000,0000&lt;/param&gt;Official figures should become
available from the State Planning Office packet when it
arrives,&lt;/color&gt; but these figures are felt to be accurate island
figures.


&lt;bold&gt;Seasonal Population&lt;/bold&gt;


There is a large seasonal population which must be acknowledged on
Long Island. It is difficult to estimate their numbers because
occupancy of seasonal residences varies widely depending on family
habits, vacation schedules, numbers of visiting relatives and guests
and particularly the weather. The State Planning Office suggests
estimating seasonal residents based on 2-4 persons per housing unit.
This would give a range of 540-1080 seasonal residents in addition to
the year round population of 216. As reported in the housing segment
of this report, the proportion of winter houses to seasonal houses
remains about 1 to 3, even as both numbers slowly increase.


On Long Island, particularly in summer, there are also numbers of =93day
trippers=94 some of whom are visitors to island households, but many
come simply to enjoy the island and its beaches. Their presence is
noticed most on the beaches, but they are also an important customer
base for our stores and gift shop.


&lt;bold&gt;Population Projection&lt;/bold&gt;


There being no circumstances identified to cause us to expect a
change, it is projected that our population will continue to grow at a
slow steady space of about 3 persons per year. Perhaps more than many
towns Long Island values its multi-aged population, and there is a
good deal of interaction across the age spectrum. School functions
attract a wide audience. Most of our public activities welcome all
ages, and our seniors seem to enjoy our youngsters as our children
bask in their attention. We want to be sure that our aging population
has the services to live comfortably on Long Island.


The ability to make a living in the Town of Long Island is fundamental
to the continued existence of our year round community, a fact which
we do not take lightly. Philip Conkling of the Island Institute cites
the grim statistic that of more than 300 year round Maine island
communities in existence at the turn of the century, only 14 remaining
today. The defining criteria for year round community status is an
island school, because the lack of a school reflects lack of children.
With no school, few families with children find it possible to stay on
an island; the population cannot renew itself, and the year round
community dies out. It becomes a summer island. As Conkling&#x27;s figures
point out, year round Maine islands are an endangered species=20


Attracting and keeping young people on Long Island must be a priority
if we are to survive - for the simple reason that we need them.
Youthful vigor and abilities are required here more than in most
communities because ours is a more demanding setting. Our volunteer
fire department and emergency rescue operations require the strengths
of youthful members. Our town must provide the kinds of services that
will support the needs of young families. The well-known quality of
our school is a source of pride among residents and property owners
and reflects the level of community support it has traditionally
enjoyed. Our school is valued because it&#x27;s excellence holds families
here and attracts more, but families must  have the wherewithal to
support the decision to live here.=20


&lt;bold&gt;Population Policy=20

&lt;/bold&gt;

Inasmuch as the citizens of Long Island have expressed desire for
minimum growth, it shall be the policy of the Town of Long Island to
neither actively discourage nor actively encourage population growth
with the exception that the town shall attempt to provide services,
which make it possible and desirable for young families to locate and
remain here and to sustain those who already live here.=20


&lt;bold&gt;Population Policy Implementation Strategy=20

&lt;/bold&gt;

1. Periodic review of population levels should be made so that the
Town can respond as necessary to either increasing or declining
population trends.=20


2. The town is encouraged to continue its current commitment to the
quality of our school and community services. =3D

--Apple-Mail-110-734153949--